Market Reports Archives

Why Today’s Housing Inventory Shows A Crash Isn’t on the Horizon

September 30, 2023 by Thom Abbott

Why Today’s Housing Inventory Shows a Crash Isn’t on the Horizon

You might remember the housing crash in 2008, even if you didn’t own a home at the time. If you’re worried there’s going to be a repeat of what happened back then, there’s good news – the housing market now is different from 2008. That is Why Todays’ Housing Inventory Shows a Crash Isn’t on the Horizon.

One important reason is there aren’t enough homes for sale. That means there’s an undersupply, not an oversupply like the last time. For the market to crash, there would have to be too many houses for sale, but the data doesn’t show that happening.

Housing supply comes from three main sources:

Homeowners deciding to sell their houses
Newly built homes
Distressed properties (foreclosures or short sales)

Here’s a closer look at today’s housing inventory to understand why this isn’t like 2008.

Homeowners Deciding To Sell Their Houses

Although housing supply did grow compared to last year, it’s still low. The current months’ supply is below the norm. The graph below shows this more clearly. If you look at the latest data (shown in green), compared to 2008 (shown in red), there’s only about a third of that available inventory today.

So, what does this mean? There just aren’t enough homes available to make home values drop. To have a repeat of 2008, there’d need to be a lot more people selling their houses with very few buyers, and that’s not happening right now.

Newly Built Homes

People are also talking a lot about what’s going on with newly built houses these days, and that might make you wonder if homebuilders are overdoing it. The graph below shows the number of new houses built over the last 52 years:

The 14 years of underbuilding (shown in red) is a big part of the reason why inventory is so low today. Basically, builders haven’t been building enough homes for years now and that’s created a significant deficit in supply.

While the final blue bar on the graph shows that’s ramping up and is on pace to hit the long-term average again, it won’t suddenly create an oversupply. That’s because there’s too much of a gap to make up. Plus, builders are being intentional about not overbuilding homes like they did during the bubble.

Distressed Properties (Foreclosures and Short Sales)

The last place inventory can come from is distressed properties, including short sales and foreclosures. Back during the housing crisis, there was a flood of foreclosures due to lending standards that allowed many people to get a home loan they couldn’t truly afford.

Today, lending standards are much tighter, resulting in more qualified buyers and far fewer foreclosures. The graph below uses data from the Federal Reserve to show how things have changed since the housing crash:

This graph illustrates, as lending standards got tighter and buyers were more qualified, the number of foreclosures started to go down. And in 2020 and 2021, the combination of a moratorium on foreclosures and the forbearance program helped prevent a repeat of the wave of foreclosures we saw back around 2008.

The forbearance program was a game changer, giving homeowners options for things like loan deferrals and modifications they didn’t have before. And data on the success of that program shows four out of every five homeowners coming out of forbearance are either paid in full or have worked out a repayment plan to avoid foreclosure. These are a few of the biggest reasons there won’t be a wave of foreclosures coming to the market.

What This Means for You

Inventory levels aren’t anywhere near where they’d need to be for prices to drop significantly and the housing market to crash. According to Bankrate, that isn’t going to change anytime soon, especially considering buyer demand is still strong:

“This ongoing lack of inventory explains why many buyers still have little choice but to bid up prices. And it also indicates that the supply-and-demand equation simply won’t allow a price crash in the near future.”

Bottom Line

The market doesn’t have enough available homes for a repeat of the 2008 housing crisis – and there’s nothing that suggests that will change anytime soon. That’s why housing inventory tells us there’s no crash on the horizon.

If you want to know more about the real estate market in your neighborhood, or condominium building, I can set up a search for you so you are notified of New Listings, Homes Under Contract, and those that have Sold! Feel free to call, text or you can reach me at Thom (at) MyMidtownMojo.com

What’s Causing Ongoing Home Price Appreciation?

August 4, 2022 by Thom Abbott

What’s Causing Ongoing Home Price Appreciation?

If you’re thinking about making a move, you probably want to know what’s going to happen to home prices for the rest of the year. While experts say price growth will moderate due to the shifting market, ongoing appreciation is expected. That means home prices won’t fall. Here’s a look at two key reasons experts forecast continued price growth: supply and demand.

While Growing, Housing Supply Is Still Low

Even though inventory is increasing this year as the market moderates, supply is still low. The graph below helps tell the story of why there still aren’t enough homes on the market today. It uses data from the Census to show the number of single-family homes that were built in this country going all the way back to the 1970s.

The blue bars represent the years leading up to the housing crisis in 2008. As the graph shows, right before the crash, homebuilding increased significantly. That’s because buyer demand was so high due to loose lending standards that enabled more people to qualify for a home loan.

The resulting oversupply of homes for sale led to prices dropping during the crash and some builders leaving the industry or closing their businesses – and that led to a long period of underbuilding of new homes. And even as more new homes are constructed this year and in the years ahead, this isn’t something that can be resolved overnight. It’ll take time to build enough homes to meet the deficit of underbuilding that took place over the past 14 years.

Millennials Will Create Sustained Buyer Demand Moving Forward

The frenzy the market saw during the pandemic is because there was more demand than homes for sale. That drove home prices up as buyers competed with one another for available homes. And while buyer demand has moderated today in response to higher mortgage rates, data tells us demand will continue to be driven by the large generation of millennials aging into their peak homebuying years (see graph below):

Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, explains:

“. . . millennials continue to transition to their prime home-buying age and will remain the driving force in potential homeownership demand in the years ahead.”

That combination of millennial demand and low housing supply continues to put upward pressure on home prices. As Bankrate says:

“After all, supplies of homes for sale remain near record lows. And while a jump in mortgage rates has dampened demand somewhat, demand still outpaces supply, thanks to a combination of little new construction and strong household formation by large numbers of millennials.”

What This Means for Home Prices

If you’re worried home values will fall, rest assured that experts forecast ongoing home price appreciation thanks to the lingering imbalance of supply and demand. That means home prices won’t decline.

Atlanta Market Update

Some of this information comes at a more National level look, and we all know that real estate is local, and all about location, location, location!

Key housing metrics, including the median sales price, swung to negative territory in Atlanta on a month-over-month basis in June, Georgia MLS reported, citing its 12-county Housing Market Snapshot.

The median price for a home in Atlanta’s core market fell 2.1% to $403,169 from $412,000 in June. Year over year, the median price was up 15.5%.

Atlanta-area home sales by dollar volume fell in July, dropping 18.9% month over month and 15% year over year to $2.84 billion.

The number of houses sold in July was 5,918, down 16.9% from June and 27% from July 2021.

New listings in July totaled 9,268, a 14.1% decrease from June and a 5.3% increase from last July, while active listings jumped 15.9% month over month and 57.1% year over year to 11,970.

Georgia MLS’ 12-county report includes Cherokee, Clayton, Cobb, DeKalb, Douglas, Fayette, Forsyth, Fulton, Gwinnett, Henry, Paulding and Rockdale counties.

Bottom Line

Based on today’s factors driving supply and demand, experts project home price appreciation will continue. It’ll just happen at a more moderate pace as the housing market continues its shift back toward pre-pandemic levels.

Want To Buy a Home? Now May Be the Time.

July 29, 2022 by Thom Abbott

Want To Buy a Home? Now May Be the Time.

There are more homes for sale today than at any time last year. So, if you tried to buy a home last year and were outbid or out priced, now may be your opportunity. The number of homes for sale in the U.S. has been growing over the past four months as rising mortgage rates help slow the frenzy the housing market saw during the pandemic.

Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains why the shifting market creates a window of opportunity for you:

“This is an opportunity for people with a secure job to jump into the market, when other people are a little hesitant because of a possible recession. . . They’ll have fewer buyers to compete with.”

Two Reasons There Are More Homes for Sale

The first reason the market is seeing more homes available for sale is the number of sales happening each month has decreased. This slowdown has been caused by rising mortgage rates and rising home prices, leading many to postpone or put off buying. The graph below uses data from realtor.com to show how active real estate listings have risen over the past four months as a result.

The second reason the market is seeing more homes available for sale is because the number of people selling their homes is also rising. The graph below outlines new monthly listings coming onto the market compared to last year. As the graph shows, for the past three months, more people have put their homes on the market than the previous year.

Bottom Line — Want to Buy a Home? Now May Be the Time!

The number of homes for sale across the country is growing, and that means more options for those thinking about buying a home. This is the opportunity many have been waiting for who were outbid or out priced last year.

If you are ready to start looking for your next home, you can complete our Buyer Questionnaire HERE, and we will be in contact with you shortly. And you can call us directly at 770-713-1505, or email us at Info (at) MyMidtownMojo.com

Midtown Atlanta 2018 Year End Real Estate Market Report

March 23, 2019 by Thom Abbott

Midtown Atlanta is most often referred to as the most walkable neighborhood in all of the Metro Atlanta area. And that certainly is true. Step out the door of your home or condominium, and lots and lots of restaurants, some shopping, two MARTA transit stations, theater and art museums are all within walking distance. Not to mention the numerous festivals that happen each year in Midtown Atlanta’s “backyard” …. Piedmont Park.

A majority of the living options in Midtown Atlanta consist of condominiums and apartments. The area known as Historic Midtown is the only area with single family homes.

For the purpose of this report, we tried to outline what is considered Midtown in the MLS, as indicate in the photo on the right.

Midtown Atlanta 2018 Year End Real Estate Market Report

Disclaimer: As we do this “15,000 ft overview” of the Midtown Atlanta market, we attempted to keep the search as indicate in the map above. So places like Ansley Park or Atlantic Station are NOT represented in this report.

Single Family Homes

Single family homes in Midtown Atlanta, are found in what is referred to as Historic Midtown, and area primarily defined by 10th Street, Monroe Drive, North Avenue and Piedmont Avenue.

There were 25 homes that sold in 2018, ranging in price from $500,000 to $1,680,000. CLICK HERE to see the report.

Condominiums/Townhomes

Midtown Atlanta is best known for condominium living. And the choices range for converted homes with only 4 units to major high-rise buildings with 400 homes! And as you can see in this 2018 Year End Report, there is a range of prices! There were a total of 667 sales in the area for 2018!

86 condominiums sold between $500,000 and above. This accounted for about 13 percent of the market

78 homes sold between $400,000 and $500,000 or about 12 percent of the market.

160 homes sold between $300,000 and $400,000, about 24 percent of the market.

343 homes, or 51% of the Midtown Atlanta condo market sold for less than $300,000.

82 condos sold for less than $200,000 or about 12 percent of the total sales.

CLICK HERE to see the Complete 2018 Market Report — $500,000 Plus

CLICK HERE to see the Complete 2018 Market Report — $400,000 — $500,000

$300,000 — $400,000 CLICK HERE

$300,000 or less CLICK HERE

What’s The Real Estate Market Like In Midtown Atlanta?

Midtown Atlanta’s real estate market is still moving strong in 2019. However, we are starting to see some homes remain on the market longer and not the past frenzy of offers (and sometimes multiple offers) within a day of going on the market. 2019 will also see the values moderate. This is a GOOD THING, AND NOT A SIGN OF ANY TROUBLE! A real estate market cannot continue at 6% or more appreciation each year. If that were to happen, Midtown Atlanta, or ANY area of Atlanta could quickly become unaffordable to many people. So we look forward to continued price and value appreciation, but just not as dramatic as we have seen in the past few years.

If you are looking to Buy or Sell a home in Midtown Atlanta, MyMidtownMojo.com can help!

Selling? Do you want to sell your Midtown Atlanta single family home or condominium? Call us today at 770.713.1505 to schedule a free market analysis of your home. Or, complete our Seller Information Form and we will be in touch with you!

Buying? Are you looking to buy a Midtown Atlanta home, condo or townhome? We can set up specific searches for you based on price, community or other specifics you may be looking for. In a competitive Seller’s Market, we can alert you of new listings within minutes of them hitting the market! Just complete out Buyer Information Form, or let’s schedule a time to talk about what you are looking for!

Contact MyMidtownMojo and Thomas Ramon Realty@Palmer House Properties at 770.713.1505 or Info@MyMidtownMojo.com for all your Midtown Atlanta real estate needs!

Buckhead 2018 Year End Real Estate Market Report

March 22, 2019 by Thom Abbott

The Buckhead area of Atlanta is usually associated with the “mega-mansions” of places like Tuxedo Park or West Paces Ferry Road, where you find the Governor’s Mansion. For the purpose of this overall Buckhead 2018 Year End Real Estate Market Report, we will just focus on the primary zip code of 30305. Yes, there are parts of 30309, also referred to as Brookwood that could be considered Buckhead as well. But this “snapshot” will give you an idea of the home sales in 2018. You can find more information about Buckhead here.

Buckhead 2018 Year End Real Estate Market Report

Disclaimer: As we do this “15,000 ft overview” of the Buckhead market, there are certainly other homes/neighborhoods that could qualify to be part of Buckhead. But these numbers are from FMLS and Zip Code 30305.

Single Family Homes

Buckhead 2018 Year End Real Estate Market Report — Photo Courtesy of Harry Norman Realtors

We had to break down the single family homes into three categories, just like we did with our Brookhaven, GA Real Estate Market Report. So we will look at homes sold over $1m, homes sold $500,000 – $999,000 and finally homes sold for less than $500,000.

Over $1 Million — There were 104 homes sold, ranging from a high of $4.975M in Tuxedo Park to $1M in Haynes Manor on Peachtree Battle Avenue.

$500,000 – $999,000 — This price range had the highest number of home sales, at 160 homes sold. They ranged from a high of $985,000 in Peachtree Park to $500,000 in Peachtree Hills.

$500,000 or less — As you might expect for Buckhead, there were not many homes sales less than $500,000! Lucky Number 13 to be exact…ranging from a high of $490,000 to a low of $429,900 in Peachtree Hills.

Buckhead, as we mentioned earlier, is known for the mega-mansions along West Paces Ferry, as well as being home to Lenox Mall, Phipps Plaza, the former Ritz Carlton Buckhead and the Buckhead Atlanta shopping area on Pharr Road.

To see the Complete 2018 Market Report CLICK HERE — $1 Million Plus

To see the Complete 2018 Market Report CLICK HERE — $500,000 – $999,000

To see the Complete 2018 Market Report CLICK HERE — $500,000 or less

Condominiums/Townhomes

Buckhead is also known for its pricey condominiums and townhomes! There were 471 sales in 2018, ranging from $3,700,000 at The St. Regis down to a low of $81,000 at Slaton Manor. How’s THAT for a price range of homes….Wow! Of those 471, an amazing number of 365 homes sold under $500,000.

CLICK HERE to see the Complete 2018 Market Report — $500,000 Plus

CLICK HERE to see the Complete 2018 Market Report — $500,000 or less (it’s a big one!)

What’s The Real Estate Market Like In Buckhead?

Buckhead is somewhat of a unique part of the real estate landscape of Atlanta. It’s the place where the mansions are….the shopping and some pretty awesome restaurants. The area is seeing its share of new apartment buildings (think Icon Buckhead next to the Waldorf-Astoria) and upcoming changes to Phipps Plaza as they add a hotel and other amenities. The fact that there were 365 condo sales under $500,000, and there were many that were in the $200-300,000 range make it still affordable for many.

If you are looking to Buy or Sell a home in Buckhead, MyMidtownMojo.com can help!

Selling? Do you want to sell your Buckhead single family home or condominium? Call us today at 770.713.1505 to schedule a free market analysis of your home. Or, complete our Seller Information Form and we will be in touch with you!

Buying? Are you looking to buy a Buckhead home, condo or townhome? We can set up specific searches for you based on price, community or other specifics you may be looking for. In a competitive Seller’s Market, we can alert you of new listings within minutes of them hitting the market! Just complete out Buyer Information Form, or let’s schedule a time to talk about what you are looking for!

Contact MyMidtownMojo and Thomas Ramon Realty@Palmer House Properties at 770.713.1505 or Info@MyMidtownMojo.com for all your Buckhead real estate needs!

Atlanta Real Estate Market Brief — February 2019

March 19, 2019 by Thom Abbott

The Atlanta REALTORS® Association has released their Atlanta Real Estate Market Brief — February 2019.

This market brief examines sales and prices in an 11-county area consisting of Cherokee, Clayton, Cobb, DeKalb, Douglas, Forsyth, Fulton, Gwinnett, Fayette, Henry and Paulding Counties. ( So take note…this is a really, really BROAD look at the real estate market in Metro Atlanta!)

Overall residential sales were at 3,464 which is a decrease of 7.4% from the previous year. When you look at price (both average and median) you see they continue to gain traction and are ahead of 2018 numbers. The median sales price in February was $264,000, an increase of 5.6% from February, 2018. The average Sales Price was up by 5.3% to $319,000.

What’s The Atlanta Inventory Like?

Inventory increased by 15.7% from February, 2018 with 12,806 active listings. (Remember those MetroBrokers digital signs back in the day that had 80,000, 90,000 and even 100,000 homes For Sale? Shreeeeek!) New listings were up by 15.4% from February, 2018. The month’s supply over a 12-month period decreased to 2.6 months.

Is This A Normal Real Estate Market?

A normal real estate market has 6 months of inventory. Less than 6 months (as indicated above) is a Seller’s market, and more than 6 months is a Buyer’s market. More inventory means buyers can probably get the Seller to negotiate more on price or other concessions. In a Seller’s market, we find homes selling for list price, and even above list price.

My word of caution in a report as broad as this…..real estate is all about location, location, location. These average sales numbers are just that… an average and what you may see in your neighborhood, city or specific condominium building may vastly differ from these numbers. This is why it’s always best to get a real estate professional to give you a market picture for your home and neighborhood/building.

If you have questions about the value of your home, give us a call, or just fill out the form below and we will be in touch with you!

Why Today’s Housing Inventory Shows a Crash Isn’t on the Horizon

Homeowners Deciding To Sell Their Houses

Newly Built Homes

Distressed Properties (Foreclosures and Short Sales)

What This Means for You

Bottom Line

What’s Causing Ongoing Home Price Appreciation?

While Growing, Housing Supply Is Still Low

Millennials Will Create Sustained Buyer Demand Moving Forward

What This Means for Home Prices

Atlanta Market Update

Bottom Line

Want To Buy a Home? Now May Be the Time.

Two Reasons There Are More Homes for Sale

Bottom Line — Want to Buy a Home? Now May Be the Time!

Midtown Atlanta 2018 Year End Real Estate Market Report

Single Family Homes

Condominiums/Townhomes

Contact MyMidtownMojo and Thomas Ramon Realty@Palmer House Properties at 770.713.1505 or Info@MyMidtownMojo.com for all your Midtown Atlanta real estate needs!

Buckhead 2018 Year End Real Estate Market Report

Single Family Homes

Condominiums/Townhomes

Contact MyMidtownMojo and Thomas Ramon Realty@Palmer House Properties at 770.713.1505 or Info@MyMidtownMojo.com for all your Buckhead real estate needs!

What’s The Atlanta Inventory Like?

Is This A Normal Real Estate Market?

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