Atlanta Condos For Sale

Why You Shouldn’t Fear Today’s Foreclosure Headlines

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Why You Shouldn’t Fear Today’s Foreclosure Headlines

Why You Shouldn’t Fear Today’s Foreclosure Headlines | MyKCM

If you’ve seen recent headlines about foreclosures surging in the housing market, you’re certainly not alone. There’s no doubt, the stories in the media can be pretty confusing right now. They may even make you think twice about buying a home for fear that prices could crash. The reality is, the data shows a foreclosure crisis is not where the market is headed, and understanding what that really means is mission critical if you want to know the truth about what’s happening today. Here’s a deeper look.

According to the Year-End 2022 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report from ATTOM, foreclosure filings are up 115% from 2021, but down 34% from 2019. As media headlines grab onto this 115% increase, it’s more important than ever to put that percentage into context.

While the number of foreclosure filings did more than double last year, we need to remember why that happened and how it compares to more normal, pre-pandemic years in the market. Thanks to the forbearance program and other relief options for homeowners, foreclosure filings were down to record-low levels in 2020 and 2021, so any increase last year is — no surprise — a jump up. Rick Sharga, Executive VP of Market Intelligence at ATTOM, notes:

“Eighteen months after the end of the government’s foreclosure moratorium, and with less than five percent of the 8.4 million borrowers who entered the CARES Act forbearance program remaining, foreclosure activity remains significantly lower than it was prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. It seems clear that government and mortgage industry efforts during the pandemic, coupled with a strong economy, have helped prevent millions of unnecessary foreclosures.”

Clearly, these options meant millions of homeowners could stay in their homes, allowing them to get back on their feet during a very challenging period. With home values rising at the same time, many homeowners who may have found themselves facing foreclosure under other circumstances were able to leverage their equity and sell their houses rather than face foreclosure, and that trend continues today.

And remember, as the graph below shows, foreclosures today are far below the record-high 2.9 million that were reported in 2010 when the housing market crashed.

Why You Shouldn’t Fear Today’s Foreclosure Headlines | MyKCM

So, while foreclosures are rising, keeping perspective in mind is key. As Bill McBride, Founder and Author of Calculated Risk, noted just last week:

“The bottom line is there will be an increase in foreclosures over the next year (from record low levels), but there will not be a huge wave of distressed sales as happened following the housing bubble. The distressed sales during the housing bust led to cascading price declines, and that will not happen this time.”

Bottom Line

Right now, putting the data into context is more important than ever. While the housing market is experiencing an expected rise in foreclosures, it’s nowhere near the crisis levels seen when the housing bubble burst, and that won’t lead to a crash in home prices.

Your House Could Be the #1 Item on a Homebuyer’s Wish List During the Holidays

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Your House Could Be the #1 Item on a Homebuyer’s Wish List During the Holidays

Your House Could Be the #1 Item on a Homebuyer’s Wish List During the Holidays | MyKCM

Each year, homeowners planning to make a move are faced with a decision: sell their house during the holidays or wait. And others who have already listed their homes may think about removing their listings and waiting until the new year to go back on the market.

The truth is many buyers want to purchase a home for the holidays, and your house might be just what they’re looking for. Here are five great reasons you shouldn’t wait to sell your house.

1. While the supply of homes for sale has increased this year, there still aren’t enough homes on the market to keep up with buyer demand. As Nadia Evangelou, Senior Economist & Director of Forecasting at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains:

“There’s still this gap between demand and supply because we were underbuilding for many years. . . . So now we see demand is slowing, but it still outpaces supply.”

2. Serious homebuyers are out looking right now. Millennials are driving homebuying demand today, and many are eager to make a purchase. Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, explains:

“While not the frenzy of 2021, the largest living generation, the Millennials, will continue to age into their prime home-buying years, creating a demographic tailwind for the housing market.”

3. The desire to own a home doesn’t stop during the holidays. In fact, homes decorated for the holidays appeal to many buyers. Plus, purchasers who look for homes during the holidays are ready to buy.

4. You can restrict the showings in your house to days and times that are most convenient for you. That can help you minimize disruptions, which is especially important this time of year.

5. Rents have skyrocketed in recent years. And, many buyers are looking to escape rising rents and avoid falling into the rental trap for another year. As an article from Zillow says:

“Over the next 12 months, rents are expected to grow more than inflation, the stock market and home values.”

Your home could be their ticket to leaving renting behind for good.

Your House Could Be the #1 Item on a Homebuyer’s Wish List During the Holidays!!

Bottom Line

There are still many reasons it makes sense to list your house during the holiday season. Let’s connect to determine if selling now is your best move.

Why Is My Home Not Being Shown Multiple Times Per Week?

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Why Is My Home Not Being Shown Multiple Times Per Week?

As I have daily conversations with my Seller’s, as well as speak with other real estate professionals, and it is a continuing education class for Seller’s in the current market. Long gone are the multiple offers, offers over list price and no contingencies. In fact, gone are multiple showings in a day!

When Seller’s ask me, “Why is my home not being shown multiple times per week?” I have to remind and educate them that the real estate market in Atlanta (and pretty much every city from people I talk to) has made a dramatic shift. It’s not that Buyer’s don’t want to buy a home…it’s that many Buyers have been priced out of the market completely by the sharp rise in interest rates. 

This dramatic rise in interest rates can do a number of things to a buyer: 1) They can no longer afford the mortgage payment on the price point they were looking; 2) They are having to look at less expensive homes to meet their mortgage budget (hence not looking at yours?) or; 3) have left the market completely.  Other buyers, while they may still be able to afford the payment at a higher interest rate, have chosen to move to the sidelines while they see what happens to the economy.

The increase in interest rates is directly related to the number of times your home is being shown. And unless you have priced it below market value….yes…I said BELOW market value, it may be on the market for sometime before it sells. While we certainly have not shifted 100% from a crazy Seller’s market where we were last year or even at the beginning of this year, Buyers are looking for homes that the Seller is showing their willingness to price it such that it is a great value to the buyer.

As a listing agent, I can work to market your home in numerous ways. If your home is vacant, we can increase the amount of virtual staging we do in each room to help show the home in a better way. We reach out to agents in our marketplace that we know list and sell homes in the area to confirm they have seen your listing, and if they have any buyers that might be interested. But even with these efforts, when you have a reduced buyer pool to draw from, it’s going to take more than 3 days to sell your home. It is now quite common to see homes on the market for 60-90 days and even longer. 

Some Seller’s are showing their frustration by taking their home off the market. I had one Seller say, ” I’ll put it back on after the holidays when the market has improved.” Well, I don’t have THAT crystal ball, but if there are buyers out during the holidays, they most likely are strong buyers that ARE qualified, and you could miss that opportunity. 

I can talk to you and tell you about the market, but numbers don’t lie….as this statement about the volume of mortgages clearly says:

 

 

Don’t Be Afraid of Today’s Housing Market

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Don’t be afraid of Today’s housing market! Just think, there is a good potential that interest rates may go even higher than they currently are! So buying now, you could lock in a lower rate than might be around in say, 3 or 4 months. And with the equity that you have in buying a home (let’s make sure you don’t overpay…and that market has cooled enough to help us with THAT goal) you can look to refinance your mortgage when interest rates come down in the future. 

Of course, every person’s situation is different. We might even tell you that it does not make sense for you to buy a home right now. But, let’s sit down and talk and see what your options may be!!

 

 

If you would like to know more about the home buying process ….perhaps you are new to Georgia and the real estate buying process DOES differ from state to state …. check out our Atlanta Real Estate Buyers Guide. And if you still have questions….well that’s what we are here for! 

Should You Still Buy a Home with the Latest News About Inflation?

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Should You Still Buy a Home with the Latest News About Inflation?

Should You Still Buy a Home with the Latest News About Inflation? | MyKCM

While the Federal Reserve is working hard to bring down inflation, the latest data shows the inflation rate is still high, remaining around 8%. This news impacted the stock market and added fuel to the fire for conversations about a recession.

You’re likely feeling the impact in your day-to-day life as you watch the cost of goods and services climb. The pinch it’s creating on your wallet and the looming economic uncertainty may leave you wondering: “should I still buy a home right now?” If that question is top of mind for you, here’s what you need to know.

Homeownership Is Historically a Great Hedge Against Inflation

In an inflationary economy, prices rise across the board. Historically, homeownership is a great hedge against those rising costs because you can lock in what’s likely your largest monthly payment (your mortgage) for the duration of your loan. That helps stabilize some of your monthly expenses. James Royal, Senior Wealth Management Reporter at Bankrate, explains:

“A fixed-rate mortgage allows you to maintain the biggest portion of housing expenses at the same payment. Sure, property taxes will rise and other expenses may creep up, but your monthly housing payment remains the same.”

And with rents being as high as they are, the ability to stabilize your monthly payments and protect yourself from future rent hikes may be even more important. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains what happened to rents in the latest inflation report:

“Inflation refuses to budge. In September, consumer prices rose by 8.2%. Rents rose by 7.2%, the highest pace in 40 years.”

When you rent, your monthly payment is determined by your lease, which typically renews on an annual basis. With inflation high, your landlord may be more likely to increase your payments to offset the impact of inflation. That may be part of the reason why a survey from realtor.com shows 72% of landlords said they plan to raise the rent on one or more of their properties in the next year.

Becoming a homeowner, if you’re ready and able to do so, can provide lasting stability and a reliable shelter in times of economic uncertainty.

If you are new to the home buying process, check out our Intown Atlanta Real Estate Buyers Guide!

Bottom Line

The best hedge against inflation is a fixed housing cost. If you’re ready to learn more and start your journey to homeownership, let’s connect.

What’s Causing Ongoing Home Price Appreciation?

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What’s Causing Ongoing Home Price Appreciation?

What’s Causing Ongoing Home Price Appreciation? | MyKCM

If you’re thinking about making a move, you probably want to know what’s going to happen to home prices for the rest of the year. While experts say price growth will moderate due to the shifting market, ongoing appreciation is expected. That means home prices won’t fall. Here’s a look at two key reasons experts forecast continued price growth: supply and demand.  

While Growing, Housing Supply Is Still Low

Even though inventory is increasing this year as the market moderates, supply is still low. The graph below helps tell the story of why there still aren’t enough homes on the market today. It uses data from the Census to show the number of single-family homes that were built in this country going all the way back to the 1970s.

What’s Causing Ongoing Home Price Appreciation? | MyKCM

The blue bars represent the years leading up to the housing crisis in 2008. As the graph shows, right before the crash, homebuilding increased significantly. That’s because buyer demand was so high due to loose lending standards that enabled more people to qualify for a home loan.

The resulting oversupply of homes for sale led to prices dropping during the crash and some builders leaving the industry or closing their businesses – and that led to a long period of underbuilding of new homes. And even as more new homes are constructed this year and in the years ahead, this isn’t something that can be resolved overnight. It’ll take time to build enough homes to meet the deficit of underbuilding that took place over the past 14 years.

Millennials Will Create Sustained Buyer Demand Moving Forward

The frenzy the market saw during the pandemic is because there was more demand than homes for sale. That drove home prices up as buyers competed with one another for available homes. And while buyer demand has moderated today in response to higher mortgage rates, data tells us demand will continue to be driven by the large generation of millennials aging into their peak homebuying years (see graph below):

What’s Causing Ongoing Home Price Appreciation? | MyKCM

Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, explains:

 “. . . millennials continue to transition to their prime home-buying age and will remain the driving force in potential homeownership demand in the years ahead.”

That combination of millennial demand and low housing supply continues to put upward pressure on home prices. As Bankrate says:

“After all, supplies of homes for sale remain near record lows. And while a jump in mortgage rates has dampened demand somewhat, demand still outpaces supply, thanks to a combination of little new construction and strong household formation by large numbers of millennials.”

What This Means for Home Prices

If you’re worried home values will fall, rest assured that experts forecast ongoing home price appreciation thanks to the lingering imbalance of supply and demand. That means home prices won’t decline.

Atlanta Market Update

Some of this information comes at a more National level look, and we all know that real estate is local, and all about location, location, location! 

Key housing metrics, including the median sales price, swung to negative territory in Atlanta on a month-over-month basis in June, Georgia MLS reported, citing its 12-county Housing Market Snapshot. 

The median price for a home in Atlanta’s core market fell 2.1% to $403,169 from $412,000 in June. Year over year, the median price was up 15.5%. 

Atlanta-area home sales by dollar volume fell in July, dropping 18.9% month over month and 15% year over year to $2.84 billion.   

The number of houses sold in July was 5,918, down 16.9% from June and 27% from July 2021.   

New listings in July totaled 9,268, a 14.1% decrease from June and a 5.3% increase from last July, while active listings jumped 15.9% month over month and 57.1% year over year to 11,970.   

Georgia MLS’ 12-county report includes Cherokee, Clayton, Cobb, DeKalb, Douglas, Fayette, Forsyth, Fulton, Gwinnett, Henry, Paulding and Rockdale counties. 

Bottom Line

Based on today’s factors driving supply and demand, experts project home price appreciation will continue. It’ll just happen at a more moderate pace as the housing market continues its shift back toward pre-pandemic levels.

Thom Abbott

Associate Broker, REALTOR(R)
905 Juniper Street, NE Suite 110
Atlanta, Georgia 30309
770.713.1505 Direct
404.876.4901 Office

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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