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 4 Things To Expect from the Spring Housing Market

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 4 Things To Expect from the Spring Housing Market 4 Things To Expect from the Spring Housing Market


Spring is in full swing, and the housing market is picking up along with it. And if you’ve been wondering whether now is the right time to buy or sell, here’s the inside scoop on why this spring may be a great time to make your move and 4 Things to Expect from the Spring Housing Market.

1. There Are More Homes for Sale

After a long stretch of tight inventory, the number of homes for sale is finally improving. According to recent national data from Realtor.com, active listings are up 27.5% compared to this time last year.

Look at the graph below and follow the green line for 2025. You can see, even though inventory levels still haven’t returned to pre-pandemic norms (shown in gray), that number is higher than it has been going into the spring market over the past few years (see graph below):


Buyers: This means you have more choices, and you can be more selective.

Sellers: With more homes available than in recent years, you’re more likely to find what you’re looking for when you move. And knowing that inventory is still below more normal levels means there will be demand for your home when you sell it, too.

2. Home Price Growth Is Moderating

As inventory grows, the pace of home price growth is slowing down – and that will continue into the spring market. This is because prices are driven by supply and demand. When there are more homes for sale, buyers have more options, so there’s less competition for each house. Rising supply and less buyer competition causes price growth to slow, but it should still remain positive in most markets. As Freddie Mac says:

“In 2025, we expect the pace of house price appreciation to moderate from the levels seen in 2024, while still maintaining a positive trajectory.”

And while prices aren’t dropping at the national level, every market is different. Some areas are seeing stronger price growth, while others are cooling off or even seeing some price declines.

Buyers: The slower pace of growth means prices aren’t rising as quickly as before – and that’s a relief. Any home you buy now is likely to appreciate in value over time, helping you build equity.

Sellers: While prices are still rising, you might need to adjust your expectations. Overpricing your house in a more balanced market could mean it takes longer to sell. Pricing your house competitively is going to be key to attracting offers.

3. Mortgage Rates Are Stabilizing

One of the biggest hurdles for buyers over the past couple of years has been high, volatile mortgage rates. But there’s some good news – overall, they’ve stabilized in recent weeks – and have even declined a bit since the beginning of this year. And while that decrease hasn’t been a big drop, stabilizing mortgage rates has helped make buying a home a bit more predictable. According to Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at CoreLogic:

“With the spring homebuying season upon us, the recent improvements in mortgage rates may help invite homebuyers back into the market.”

Buyers: When mortgage rates are more stable, it’s easier to plan ahead because you have a better idea of what your future payment might be. But remember, rates will continue to be volatile. So, lean on your agent and your lender to make sure you know what the latest mortgage rate means for you.

Sellers: Slightly lower rates that are starting to stabilize are encouraging more buyers to move forward with their plans. That’s good for demand when you’re planning to sell your house.

4. More Buyers Are Returning

With more inventory, slowing price growth, and stabilizing mortgage rates, buyers are gaining confidence and coming back into the market. Demand is picking up, and data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) shows an increase in mortgage applications compared to the start of the year (see graph below):


Buyers: Acting sooner rather than later could be a smart move before your competition heats up even more.

Sellers: This is great news for you – more buyers mean a better chance of selling your house quickly.

Bottom Line

Do you have questions about what the spring market means for you? Let’s connect and talk about how to craft your plan this season.

With more homes for sale, slowing price growth, and stabilizing mortgage rates, how will this impact your decision to buy or sell this spring?

Are Investors Actually Buying Up All the Homes?

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Are Investors Actually Buying Up All the Homes?

Are you trying to buy a home but you feel like you’re up against deep-pocketed Wall Street investors snatching up everything in sight? Many people believe mega investors are driving up prices and buying up all the homes for sale, and that’s making it hard for regular buyers like you to compete.

But here’s the truth. Investor purchases are actually on the decline, and the big players aren’t nearly as active as you might think. Let’s dive into the facts and put this myth to rest.

Most Investors Are Small, Not Mega Investors

A common misconception is that massive institutional investors are dominating the market. In reality, that’s not the case. The Mortgage Reports explains:

“On average, small investors account for around 18% of the market, while mega investors represent only about 1%.”

Most real estate investors are mom-and-pop investors who own just a few properties — not large corporations buying up entire neighborhoods. They’re people like your neighbors who have another home they’re renting out or a vacation getaway.

Investor Home Purchases Are Dropping

But what about the big investors you hear about in the news? Lately, those institutional investors – the ones that make headlines – have pulled back and aren’t buying as many homes.

According to John Burns Research and Consulting (JBREC), at their all-time peak in Q2 2022, institutional investors (those owning 1,000+ single-family homes) only made up 2.4% of home sales. And that number has only come down since then. By Q3 2024, that number had fallen to just 0.3% (see graph below):

That’s a major shift, and it means far fewer investors are competing in the market now than just a few years ago.

Investors are clearly more reluctant to buy in today’s market, but why? The answer is largely because higher mortgage rates and home prices have made it less attractive for them.

The idea that Wall Street investors are buying up all the homes and making it impossible for you to compete is a myth. While some investors are still in the market, they’re not nearly as active as they were in past years.

Bottom Line

Big institutional investors aren’t buying up all the homes – if anything they’re buying less than they have been. Let’s connect and talk about what’s happening in our local market. There could be more opportunities than you think.

How does knowing investors are buying fewer homes change the way you see your chances in today’s market?

Food and Agricultural Giant Cargill Opens Midtown ATL Tech Hub

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Food Giant Cargill opens Midtown Atlanta Tech HubIn November 2024, Cargill, a global leader in food and agriculture, inaugurated its new tech hub in Midtown Atlanta, marking a significant milestone in the company’s digital transformation journey. This strategic move aims to harness Atlanta’s burgeoning tech scene and diverse talent pool to drive innovation in the food and agriculture sectors.

Strategic Location in Midtown’s Technology Square

Cargill’s decision to establish its tech hub in Midtown’s Technology Square places it at the heart of Atlanta’s innovation district. The company has subleased a portion of the NCR campus on Spring Street, providing a modern workspace designed to foster collaboration and technological advancement. This location offers proximity to leading academic institutions and a vibrant tech community, aligning perfectly with Cargill’s objectives.

Job Creation and Talent Acquisition

The Atlanta tech hub is set to create over 400 highly skilled jobs in the coming years, focusing on areas such as data engineering, generative artificial intelligence, and SAP. As of January 2025, Cargill has already onboarded approximately 50 employees, with many hailing from the local area. This recruitment drive underscores the company’s commitment to tapping into Atlanta’s rich pool of technical talent to drive its digital transformation efforts. 

Leadership Perspectives

Brian Sikes, Cargill’s Board Chair and CEO, emphasized the strategic importance of the Atlanta hub, stating that Georgia’s business-friendly environment provides an ideal backdrop for the company’s investment in technology and innovation. Jennifer Hartsock, Chief Information and Digital Officer at Cargill, highlighted that the city’s thriving tech innovation ecosystem offers unparalleled access to expertise essential for advancing the company’s digital initiatives. Community Engagement and Future Outlook

Beyond job creation, Cargill has demonstrated a strong commitment to the local community, contributing over $1 million in the past year to support organizations such as the Georgia FFA Foundation, Georgia Mountain Food Bank, and local educational institutions. Looking ahead, the Atlanta tech hub is poised to play a pivotal role in developing digital solutions that enhance the global food supply chain, open new markets, and promote sustainability in the food system. 

In summary, Cargill’s new tech hub in Midtown Atlanta signifies a strategic investment in technology and talent, reinforcing the company’s dedication to innovation and community partnership in the region.

Cargill employees will have numerous living options in the Midtown Atlanta area. Some may choose to rent in one of the luxury apartment buildings. Others may see the value in renting vs. buying    

Those options can range from a Midtown Atlanta condo, many with in walking distance of the new office, or single family homes in areas like Brookhaven or  Chamblee. We are ready here at Thomas Ramon Group to help you find the perfect place to call home along with your new Cargill Tech Hub! 

What To Look For From This Week’s Fed Meeting

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What To Look For From This Week’s Fed Meeting

You may be hearing a lot of talk about the Federal Reserve (the Fed) and how their actions will impact the housing market right now. Here’s What to Look for From This Week’s Fed Meeting.

NOTE: BE SURE TO CHECK AN ADDITIONAL PIECE OF INFORMATION BELOW! 

The Fed meets again this week to decide the next step with the Federal Funds Rate. That’s how much it costs banks to borrow from each other. Now, that’s not the same thing as setting mortgage rates, but mortgage rates can be influenced through this process. And if you’re thinking about buying or selling a home, you may be wondering about the downstream impact and when mortgage rates will come down.

Here’s a quick rundown of what you need to know to help you anticipate what’ll happen next. The Fed’s decisions are guided by these three key economic indicators:

  1. The Direction of Inflation
  2. How Many Jobs the Economy Is Adding
  3. The Unemployment Rate

Let’s take a look at each one.

1. The Direction of Inflation

You’ve likely noticed prices for everyday goods and services seem to be higher each time you make a purchase at the store. That’s because of inflation – and the Fed wants to see that number come back down so it’s closer to their 2% target.

Right now, it’s still higher than that. But despite a little volatility, inflation has generally been moving in the right direction. It gradually came down over the past two years, and is holding fairly steady right now (see graph below):

a graph of a graph with textThe path of inflation – though still not at their target rate – is a big part of the reason why the Fed will likely lower the Fed Funds Rate again this week to make borrowing less expensive, while still ensuring the economy continues to grow.

2. How Many Jobs the Economy Is Adding

The Fed is also keeping an eye on how many new jobs are added to the economy each month. They want job growth to slow down a bit before they cut the Federal Funds Rate further. When fewer jobs are created, it shows the economy is still doing well, but gradually cooling off—exactly what they’re aiming for. And that’s what’s happening right now. Reuters says:

“Any doubts the Federal Reserve will go ahead with an interest-rate cut . . . fell away on Friday after a government report showed U.S. employers added fewer workers in October than in any month since December 2020.”

Employers are still hiring, but just not as many positions right now. This shows the job market is starting to slow down after running hot for a while, which is what the Fed wants to see.

3. The Unemployment Rate

The unemployment rate shows the percentage of people who want jobs but can’t find them. A low unemployment rate means most people are working, which is great. However, it can push inflation higher because more people working means more spending—and that makes prices go up.

Many economists consider any unemployment rate below 5% to be as close to full employment as is realistically possible. In the most recent report, unemployment is sitting at 4.1% (see graph below):

a graph of a number of peopleUnemployment this low shows the labor market is still strong even as fewer jobs were added to the economy. That’s the balance the Fed is looking for.

What Does This Mean Going Forward?

Overall, the economy is headed in the direction the Fed wants to see – and that’s why experts say they will likely cut the Federal Funds Rate by a quarter of a percentage point this week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

If that expectation ends up being correct, that could pave the way for mortgage rates to come down too. But that doesn’t mean they’ll fall immediately. It will take some time. Remember, the Fed doesn’t determine mortgage rates. Forecasts show mortgage rates will ease more gradually over the course of the next year as long as these economic indicators continue to move in the right direction and the Fed can continue their Federal Funds rate cuts through 2025.

But a change in any one of the factors mentioned here could cause a shift in the market and in the Fed’s actions in the days and months ahead. So, brace for some volatility, and for mortgage rates to respond along the way. As Ralph McLaughlin, Senior Economist at Realtor.com, notes:

“The trajectory of rates over the coming months will be largely dependent on three key factors: (1) the performance of the labor market, (2) the outcome of the presidential election, and (3) any possible reemergence of inflationary pressure. While volatility has been the theme of mortgage rates over the past several months, we expect stability to reemerge towards the end of November and into early December.”

Bottom Line

While the Fed’s actions play a part, economic data and market conditions are what really drive mortgage rates. As we move through the rest of 2024 and 2025, expect rates to stabilize or decline gradually, offering more certainty in what has been a volatile market. 

HERE IS A SIDE ARTICLE WORTH MENTIONING:  

Mortgage Rates Set To Rise as Donald Trump Clinches Election Win

7 Mistakes to Avoid When Hiring a Contractor

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Mistakes NOT to make When you hire a contractorA recent survey found that more than half (52%) of American homeowners have a renovation project planned this year.1 If you’re among them, you know that embarking on home improvements can be both exciting and daunting. According to the survey, the median renovation budget is around $15,000, so you’re probably investing a significant amount—and you’ll want to ensure your project’s success.1 One of the most critical decisions you’ll make is choosing the right contractor to bring your vision to life. However, many homeowners fall into common pitfalls during this process, leading to stress, financial strain, and subpar results. In this post, we’ll explore 7 Mistakes to Avoid When Hiring a Contractor to ensure your project runs smoothly from start to finish.
 

1. SKIPPING THE RESEARCH PHASE

A common mistake homeowners make is rushing into hiring a contractor without proper research. But to ensure the success of your renovation, it’s crucial to take time to meet with multiple candidates and educate yourself on best practices surrounding your project. If you bypass the interview process, you miss the opportunity to evaluate different approaches, pricing, and expertise. This can result in overpaying or hiring someone whose skills and vision do not align with your needs. Neglecting to research the processes and steps involved can also leave you vulnerable. Not only does it make it more difficult to ask the right questions, but you also risk hiring unqualified professionals or settling for subpar work. What To Do Instead:
  • Educate Yourself — Read up or watch YouTube videos to gain a better understanding of best practices surrounding your project.
  • Interview Multiple Contractors — Search for and interview at least three contractors who specialize in the type of work you need.
  • Ask Specific Questions — Inquire about the processes and materials each candidate will utilize.
  • Seek Recommendations — Get referrals from trusted sources like friends, neighbors, and real estate professionals. We’d be happy to share a list of referrals!

2. CHOOSING BASED SOLELY ON PRICE

 
Once you’ve interviewed candidates and reviewed their proposals, it’s time to choose your favorite. But don’t make the mistake of rushing to the lowest bid. While it’s natural to want to save money, selecting a contractor based entirely on price can be a costly mistake. Extremely low bids may indicate cut corners, subpar materials, or hidden costs that will surface later. According to the National Association of the Remodeling Industry, when evaluating bids, make sure you’re comparing “apples” to “apples” and considering factors like quality, timeline, and scope.2 Are they fully licensed and insured? How long have they been in business? Do they warranty their work? What To Do Instead:
  • Consider Overall Value — In addition to price, look at experience, reputation, and quality of work.
  • Ask for Detailed Breakdowns — Understand what’s included and what’s not in each bid.
  • Be Wary of Low Bids – Bids that are significantly lower than others may be too good to be true.
  • Invest in Quality — Remember that quality work comes at a fair price, and investing in a reputable contractor can save you money in the long run by avoiding costly mistakes or repairs.
 

3. NEGLECTING TO CONFIRM CREDENTIALS & INSURANCE

 
7 Mistakes to Avoid When Hiring a ContractorWhen you’ve established a good rapport with a contractor, it’s natural to want to believe the best in them. But neglecting to check references and verify licensing and insurance could come back to haunt you.3 Hiring an untrained or unlicensed contractor puts you at risk for safety and code violations, not to mention shoddy workmanship. Without proper insurance, you could be left footing the bill for costly repairs, legal issues, or even medical bills if someone gets hurt on the job.4 Skipping out on a reference check can be equally problematic. It’s your best opportunity to ensure that their promises and your expectations line up with reality. What To Do Instead:
  • Verify Licensing and Insurance — Confirm that the contractor is licensed according to local requirements and verify insurance, including general liability and workers’ compensation coverage.
  • Check Reviews — Read online reviews and confirm that the business is in good standing with the Better Business Bureau and other relevant trade groups.
  • Call References — When contacting references, ask questions and request to see photos of the contractor’s completed projects.
  • Visit Job Sites — If possible, visit a current job site to observe the contractor’s work in progress and interaction with clients.

4. PROCEEDING WITHOUT A WRITTEN AGREEMENT

 
A handshake deal might seem friendly and straightforward, but it’s a recipe for misunderstandings and potential legal issues. Verbal agreements are difficult to enforce and leave room for miscommunication about project scope, timelines, and costs.5 Instead, you should have a signed contract in place before any work begins.3 Paperwork can be tedious, but don’t skip the important step of carefully reading over your contract, asking questions, and pushing back on any terms that make you uncomfortable. Don’t forget to ask for payment receipts and document any change orders or issues that arise throughout the project, as well. What To Do instead:
  • Insist on a Written Contract — Outline all aspects, including scope, materials, timeline, payment schedule, warranty information, and a process for handling change orders.
  • Understand and Agree — Don’t sign anything until you fully understand and agree to all terms.
  • Keep Documentation — Once you’ve made your final payment, request a lien waiver or receipt marked “Paid in Full” to keep on file for legal and tax purposes.6
 

5. PAYING TOO MUCH UPFRONT

 
7 Mistakes to Avoid when hiring a ContractorAnother common misstep is paying a large sum upfront or the full cost of the project before the work is completed. This can leave you vulnerable if the contractor fails to complete the work or disappears with your money. According to the home services platform Angi, deposits typically range between 10% and 33% of the total project cost.7 The remaining payments should be tied to progress milestones outlined in your contract. Construction attorneys caution against paying a greater share of the project cost than the percentage of the work that’s been completed.3 If you end up dissatisfied with the outcome, you’ll have much less leverage if you’ve already paid. What To Do Instead:
  • Be Cautious — Avoid contractors who demand large upfront payments or cash-only deals.
  • Establish a Payment Schedule — Tie payments to project milestones and stick to them.
  • Pay Only Upon Completion — Never pay in full until the project is completed to your satisfaction and all required inspections have been passed.

6. FAILING TO GET NECESSARY PERMITS

 
Skipping the permit process might seem like a way to save time and money, but it can lead to serious consequences. Without the proper permits, you risk running afoul of local building codes and regulations, which could result in fines, forced removal of work, or even legal action.8 Additionally, unpermitted work might compromise the safety and structural integrity of your home, potentially leading to hazardous conditions or diminished resale potential. Homeowners may also find themselves without recourse if issues arise later, as insurance companies often exclude coverage for unpermitted renovations.8 If your community has a homeowners association (HOA), don’t forget to check their requirements, as well. You may need prior approval to make modifications to your home or yard. HOAs have the power to enforce these restrictions with fines, and they can even put a lien on your home—so don’t skip this important step.9 What To Do Instead:
  • Discuss Permits — Talk about permits and HOA requirements with your contractor before work begins.
  • Include Permits in the Contract — Ensure that obtaining necessary permits and approvals is part of your contract.
  • Verify Inspections — Make sure all required inspections are completed during the project.
  • Keep Records — Keep copies of all permits, HOA approvals, and inspection reports for your records.

7. IGNORING RED FLAGS AFTER THE PROJECT HAS STARTED

 
Sometimes a contractor can check all the right boxes—until the work begins. Unfortunately, red flags that are spotted mid-project can be especially challenging to address. If you’ve already paid a substantial amount or had a portion of your home demolished, you may feel trapped in a bad situation. However, if there are major problems that the contractor is unwilling to address, ignoring them can make things exponentially worse. Don’t be afraid to seek legal or professional advice if issues persist. Taking immediate, informed, and decisive action is crucial to safeguarding your investment and ensuring the project’s ultimate success.10 What To Do Instead:
  • Review Your Contract — Make sure you thoroughly understand your rights and the agreed-upon terms.
  • Document Issues — Keep detailed records, including dates, descriptions of problems, photographs of subpar work or materials, and any communications with the contractor.
  • Communicate Professionally — Arrange a meeting to discuss your concerns, ensuring you remain calm and professional while clearly expressing your expectations.
  • Request a Resolution Plan — Ask for a plan to address the issues, set a timeline for resolution, and put everything in writing to ensure you’re both on the same page.
  • Seek Advice — If the contractor is uncooperative or dismissive, consider seeking advice from a legal professional. You could also contact your local licensing board or consumer protection agency for guidance.
 

BOTTOMLINE

 
Hiring the right contractor is crucial to the success of your home improvement project. By avoiding these common mistakes, you can significantly increase your chances of a smooth and successful renovation experience. Remember, taking the time to thoroughly vet contractors, communicate clearly, and plan carefully will pay off in the long run. Your home is likely your most significant investment, and it deserves the care and attention that comes with making informed, thoughtful decisions about who works on it. If you’d like help finding a contractor or want to know how planned improvements could impact your home’s resale potential, reach out for a free consultation!
The above references an opinion and is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be financial, legal, or tax advice. Consult the appropriate professionals for advice regarding your individual needs. Sources:
  1. USA Today – https://www.usatoday.com/money/homefront/moving/home-renovation-statistics/
  2. National Association of the Remodeling Industry – https://remodelingdoneright.nari.org/Homeowner-Resources/Questions-to-ask/How-to-select-a-remodeler
  3. The Washington Post – https://www.washingtonpost.com/home/2024/07/08/how-to-find-good-honest-contractor/
  4. MarketWatch – https://www.marketwatch.com/guides/insurance-services/home-insurance-during-renovations/
  5. LegalZoom – https://www.legalzoom.com/articles/oral-contracts-do-they-carry-any-weight
  6. Better Business Bureau – https://www.bbb.org/all/home-improvement/your-home-improvement-contract
  7. Angi – https://www.angi.com/articles/how-much-should-i-pay-general-contractor-prior-starting-job.htm
  8. Bob Vila – https://www.bobvila.com/articles/remodel-without-permit/
  9. Bankrate – https://www.bankrate.com/real-estate/hoa-homeowners-association-rules/
  10. Angi – https://www.angi.com/articles/how-complain-contractors-effectively.htm

Why a Foreclosure Wave Isn’t on the Horizon

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Why a Foreclosure Wave Isn’t on the Horizon

Even though data shows inflation is cooling, a lot of people are still feeling the pinch on their wallets. And those high costs on everything from gas to groceries are fueling unnecessary concerns that more people are going to have trouble making their mortgage payments. But, does that mean there’s a big wave of foreclosures coming?

Here’s a look at why the data and Why a Foreclosure Wave Isn’t on the Horizon.

One of the main reasons there were so many foreclosures during the last housing crash was because relaxed lending standards made it easy for people to take out mortgages, even when they couldn’t show they’d be able to pay them back. At that time, lenders weren’t being as strict when looking at applicant credit scores, income levels, employment status, and debt-to-income ratio.

But since then, lending standards have gotten a whole lot tighter. Lenders became much more diligent when assessing applicants for home loans. And that means we’re seeing more qualified buyers who have less of a risk of defaulting on their loans.

That’s why data from Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae shows the number of homeowners who are seriously behind on their mortgage payments (known in the industry as delinquencies) has been declining for quite some time. Take a look at the graph below:  No Caption Received

What this means is that, not only are borrowers more qualified, but they’re also finding ways to navigate through their challenges, exploring their repayment options, or maybe even using the record amount of equity they have to sell and avoid foreclosure entirely.

The Answer Is: There’s No Sign of a Wave Coming

Before there can be a significant rise in foreclosures, the number of people who can’t make their mortgage payments would need to rise significantly. But, since so many buyers are making their payments today and homeowners have so much equity built up, a wave of foreclosures isn’t likely.

Take it from Bill McBride of Calculated Risk – an expert on the housing market who, after closely following the data and market leading up to the crash, was able to see the foreclosure crisis coming in 2008. McBride says:

“We will NOT see a surge in foreclosures that would significantly impact house prices (as happened following the housing bubble) for two key reasons: 1) mortgage lending has been solid, and 2) most homeowners have substantial equity in their homes.”

Bottom Line

If you’re worried about a potential foreclosure crisis, know there’s nothing in the data to suggest that’ll happen. Buyers are more qualified now, and that’s one reason why they’re not falling seriously behind on their mortgage payments. 

Thom Abbott

Associate Broker, REALTOR(R)
905 Juniper Street, NE Suite 110
Atlanta, Georgia 30309
770.713.1505 Direct
404.876.4901 Office

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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